Wednesday, September 1st, 2010
There have traditionally been two ways to produce more food for an increasing population: Convert native ecosystems like forests and grasslands to agricultural fields (what we call “extensification”) or make the yields on existing croplands go up, through the use of things like machinery, fertilizers, irrigation, pesticides, and GMOs (what we call “intensification”).
Historically, these processes have occurred in tandem: an initial phase of extensification and land clearing followed by development and intensification. Converting North America’s prairies to corn and wheat in the 19th century is a classic example of the former, whereas 20th-century rise of fossil fuels, and the machines and fertilizer they support, is an example of the latter.
So while it’s not surprising to learn that developing nations in tropical regions are experiencing significant deforestation for food production, as Holly Gibbs and colleagues at Stanford describe in the early edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (citations removed for clarity), it’s important to understand the magnitude of ecosystem change as well as the drivers of change:
This study confirms that rainforests were the primary source for new agricultural land throughout the tropics during the 1980s and 1990s. More than 80% of new agricultural land came from intact and disturbed forests. Although differences occur across the tropical forest belt, the basic pattern is the same: The majority of the land for agricultural and tree plantation expansion comes from forests, woodlands, and savannas, not from previously cleared lands.
Worldwide demand for agricultural products is expected to increase by ∼50% by 2050, and evidence suggests that tropical countries will be called on to meet much of this demand. Consider, for example, that in developed countries the agricultural land area,
including pastures and permanent croplands, decreased by more than 412 million ha (34%) between 1995 and 2007, whereas developing countries saw increases of nearly 400 million ha (17.1%). Moreover, developing countries expanded their permanent croplands by 10.1% during the current decade alone, while permanent cropland areas in developed countries remained generally stable. If the agricultural expansion trends documented here for 1980–2000 persist, we can expect major clearing of intact and disturbed forest to continue and increase across the tropics to help meet swelling demands for food, fodder, and fuel.
Indeed, recent studies confirm that large-scale agro-industrial expansion is the dominant driver of deforestation in this decade, showing that forests fall as commodity markets boom. Rising commodity prices have been implicated in the destruction of Amazonian rainforests for soy production and peat swamp forests for oil palm production in Southeast Asia. Drivers of cropland expansion may impact forests directly through local or regional demand or indirectly through more globalized demand that may occur via market-mediated effects. Although this study does not specifically assess displacement or indirect land use changes, it does highlight the likelihood that intact and degraded forests will be replaced by agricultural land when such changes occur. Regardless of the mechanism, concern continues to mount about the large emissions of carbon dioxide that result when tropical forests are felled and often burned to make room for new agricultural land.
This was more of a land use change analysis, so it didn’t include a lot on the global drivers causing deforestation. It would be a mistake, for instance, to ascribe all of this change to population growth in these tropical regions or efforts to supply more food to people living there. Rather, extensification today is a global phenomenon driven by international trade, as the developing world loses native ecosystems to feed other countries. And destroying forests and peatlands is a major net source of greenhouse gas emissions, so we’re also warming climate as an unintended consequence.
Why not just halt extensification and switch to intensification on existing farmland? It’s expensive—moreso than simply clearing more land in many cases. When the demand for cheap food rules the world, forest clearing in poor countries with abundant, cheap land is often what you get.
It should make us all pause considering that the environmental effects of the demand for goods like soy and palm oil by the industrialized world are being externalized to tropical countries. We are now chopping down tropical forests to make soy burgers, biodiesel, and snack foods. As Cameron Scott notes, “The Amazon, It’s What’s for Dinner.”
Reference:
H. K. Gibbs, A. S. Ruesch, F. Achard, M. K. Clayton, P. Holmgrene, N. Ramankutty, and J. A. Foley (2010). Tropical forests were the primary sources of new agricultural land in the 1980s and 1990s Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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Photo courtesy of leoffreitas
Posted in biodiversity science, biofuels, food and agriculture, land use, population | No Comments »
Friday, March 19th, 2010
European bee populations are on the decline worldwide. Who cares? These bees are major pollinators of crops and therefore perform, for free, a vital ecological service worth about $U.S. 14 billion per year. Not to mention the many other species of non-crop flowering plants that reproduce with the help of insects like this.
The recent kind of decline is specific—only female worker bees disappear—and has been given the name colony collapse disorder (CCD). Nobody has figured out why this is happening. The potential list of culprits includes mites, viruses, synthetic chemicals, and other factors.
In an article this week in PLoS ONE, Christopher Mullin and colleagues explore further the potential link between pesticides and CCD.1
Excerpts:
One third of honey bee colonies in the US were lost during each of the last three winters between ’06-’09. This alarming overwinter along with other losses of this primary pollinator, Apis mellifera L., as well as those of native pollinators, has been documented in North America and Europe. The most recent manifestation of this decline, Colony Collapse Disorder (CCD), has led to a significant collaborative effort involving several land grant universities, Departments of Agriculture and the USDA.
We have found 121 different pesticides and metabolites within 887 wax, pollen, bee and associated hive samples. Almost 60% of the 259 wax and 350 pollen samples contained at least one systemic pesticide, and over 47% had both in-hive acaricides fluvalinate and coumaphos, and chlorothalonil, a widely-used fungicide. In bee pollen were found chlorothalonil at levels up to 99 ppm and the insecticides aldicarb, carbaryl, chlorpyrifos and imidacloprid, fungicides boscalid, captan and myclobutanil, and herbicide pendimethalin at 1 ppm levels. Almost all comb and foundation wax samples (98%) were contaminated with up to 204 and 94 ppm, respectively, of fluvalinate and coumaphos, and lower amounts of amitraz degradates and chlorothalonil, with an average of 6 pesticide detections per sample and a high of 39. There were fewer pesticides found in adults and brood except for those linked with bee kills by permethrin (20 ppm) and fipronil (3.1 ppm).
The 98 pesticides and metabolites detected in mixtures up to 214 ppm in bee pollen alone represents a remarkably high level for toxicants in the brood and adult food of this primary pollinator. This represents over half of the maximum individual pesticide incidences ever reported for apiaries. While exposure to many of these neurotoxicants elicits acute and sublethal reductions in honey bee fitness, the effects of these materials in combinations and their direct association with CCD or declining bee health remains to be determined.
The high frequency of multiple pesticides in bee collected pollen and wax indicates that pesticide interactions need thorough investigation before their roles in decreasing bee health can be either supported or refuted. The large number of studies to date, are limited by being done on mostly one compound at a time, as well as using whole colonies where the timing of contaminated pollen intake and its utilization by the colony are difficult to interpret as a causal relationship. Laboratory studies have clearly indicated sublethal impacts on honey bee learning, immune system functioning, and synergism of insecticide toxicity by fungicides, yet combinations of herbicides with fungicides and insecticides in 3 or more component mixtures have not been studied.
The widespread occurrence of multiple residues, some at toxic levels for single compounds, and the lack of any scientific literature on the biological consequences of combinations of pesticides, argues strongly for urgent changes in regulatory policies regarding pesticide registration and monitoring procedures as they relate to pollinator safety. This further calls for emergency funding to address the myriad holes in our scientific understanding of pesticide consequences for pollinators. The relegation of bee toxicity for registered compounds to impact only label warnings, and the underestimation of systemic pesticide hazards to bees in the registration process may well have contributed to widespread pesticide contamination of pollen, the primary food source of our major pollinator. Is risking the $14 billion contribution of pollinators to our food system really worth lack of action?
1Christopher A. Mullin, Maryann Frazier, James L. Frazier, Sara Ashcraft, Roger Simonds, Dennis vanEngelsdorp, Jeffery S. Pettis (2010). High Levels of Miticides and Agrochemicals in North American Apiaries: Implications for Honey Bee Health PLoS ONE
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Photo Credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/viamoi/ / CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
Tags: bees
Posted in biodiversity science, food and agriculture, organic, pollutants, toxics | 2 Comments »
Monday, March 1st, 2010
How do you turn a male frog into a female frog that breeds with other male frogs? Expose them to herbicides that are routinely sprayed on agricultural fields worldwide.
Last year, Tyrone Hayes from UC Berkeley gave a talk at Bowdoin about his career’s work studying the impacts of endocrine-disrupting chemicals on amphibian development.
This week’s Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences features some of this research.1
Excerpts:
Atrazine is one of the most widely used pesticides in the world. Approximately 80 million pounds are applied annually in the United States alone, and atrazine is the most common pesticide contaminant of ground and surface water. Atrazine can be transported more than 1,000 km from the point of application via rainfall and, as a result, contaminates otherwise pristine habitats, even in remote areas where it is not used. In fact, more than a half million pounds of atrazine are precipitated in rainfall each year in the United States.
In addition to its persistence, mobility, and widespread contamination of water, atrazine is also a concern because several studies have shown that atrazine is a potent endocrine disruptor active in the ppb (parts per billion) range in fish, amphibians, reptiles, and human cell lines, and at higher doses (ppm) in reptiles, birds, and laboratory rodents. Atrazine seems to be most potent in amphibians, where it is active at levels as low as 0.1 ppb. Although a few studies suggest that atrazine has no effect on amphibians under certain laboratory conditions, in other studies, atrazine reduces testicular volume; reduces germ cell and Sertoli cell numbers; induces hermaphroditism; reduces testosterone; and induces testicular oogenesis. Furthermore, atrazine contamination is associated with demasculinization and feminization of amphibians in agricultural areas where atrazine is used and directly correlated with atrazine contamination in the wild.
Using an experiment where his team exposed frogs to a 2.5 parts per billion atrizine solution, here’s what they found:
Atrazine-exposed males were both demasculinized (chemically castrated) and completely feminized as adults. Ten percent of the exposed genetic males developed into functional females that copulated with unexposed males and produced viable eggs. Atrazine exposed males suffered from depressed testosterone, decreased breeding gland size, demasculinized/feminized laryngeal development, suppressed mating behavior, reduced spermatogenesis, and decreased fertility. These data are consistent with effects of atrazine observed in other vertebrate classes. The present findings exemplify the role that atrazine and other endocrine-disrupting pesticides likely play in global amphibian declines.
The main implication of this chemically induced sex switching is that it has the potential to disrupt breeding and contribute to the amphibian declines observed worldwide:
Although many studies have focused on death from disease and its role in global amphibian declines and sudden enigmatic disappearances of populations, virtually no attention has been paid to the slow gradual loss of amphibian populations due to failed recruitment. The present study suggests several ways that exposure to endocrine disruptors such as atrazine may lead to population level effects in the wild and contribute to amphibian declines. Certainly, the inability to compete for females and the significant decline in fertility in exposed males, as reported in the present study, will have a direct impact on exposed populations.
1Hayes, T. et al (2010) Atrazine induces complete feminization and chemical castration in male African clawed frogs (Xenopus laevis). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences. doi:10.1073/pnas.0909519107
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Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/arte/ / CC BY-NC 2.0
Tags: pesticides
Posted in biodiversity science, pollutants, toxics | No Comments »
Wednesday, February 17th, 2010

As mentioned in an earlier post, marine protected areas (or MPAs) are a great idea for eliminating fishing pressures and allowing fish stocks to recover.
It’s less well known whether these underwater reserves help preserve reef-building corals, which most fish and other critters depend on one way or another—for habitat or food.
In today’s online issue of PLoS ONE (open accress), Elizabeth Selig and John Bruno conduct an analysis of MPAs worldwide and conclude that these areas are able to stem the loss of corals.1
That’s good news.
However, they offer this conclusion in the context of several important caveats:
MPAs can play a critical role in the protection of coral reef ecosystems, particularly fisheries. Our results suggest that MPAs are also generally effective in reducing or preventing coral loss. Nonetheless, we were not able to assess their effects on other metrics of reef health including changes in other key taxonomic species, coral composition, richness, reef heterogeneity and other factors that could also indicate that there has been a decline in reef health. MPA benefits may appear modest in the short term, but over several decades could lead to large and highly ecologically significant increases in coral cover as the cumulative importance of small annual effects becomes more important and the number of years of MPA protection increases. However, it remains to be seen whether the observed benefits of MPAs are sufficient to offset coral losses from major disease outbreaks and bleaching events, both of which are predicted to increase in frequency with climate change. Given the time lag for maximizing MPA effectiveness, implementing new MPAs and increasing enforcement should help maximize the ability of MPAs to prevent future coral loss.
Who cares? Lots of reasons:
1Selig ER, Bruno JF, 2010 A Global Analysis of the Effectiveness of Marine Protected Areas in Preventing Coral Loss. PLoS ONE 5(2): e9278. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0009278
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Photo credit: One of my photos that you can see at my flickr site.
Tags: coral reef
Posted in biodiversity science, nature and culture, sustainability | 2 Comments »
Thursday, January 7th, 2010

Most people have probably heard about positive feedbacks at high latitudes and why they matter:
A new study1 in the Early Edition of the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (open access), indicates that other effects of forest changes might also matter.
Specifically, boreal forests and tundra may become more dominated by deciduous trees (ones that drop their leaves in autumn), which are usually found in warmer regions. What happens if we have a future Arctic dominated by these species?
Using a set of ecosystem and climate models, Abigail Swann and colleagues determined that a rise in deciduous forests would cause an increase in water vapor to the atmosphere (deciduous trees transpire—lose water through their leaves—more than conifers). This makes the atmosphere in the Arctic more laden with water vapor, which is a good greenhouse gas. This warming, in turn, induces further sea ice and snow loss, causing warming to happen more quickly. But wait, there’s more: Warmer, ice-free oceans also release more water vapor to the atmosphere, causing greenhouse warming to increase even more.
How big an effect? About 1 degree C in the Arctic, equivalent to increasing the atmospheric CO2 about 100 ppm in the atmosphere. They found that these changes in water vapor have about the same impact as the changes in reflectivity caused by the color of forest foliage overtopping snow in the tundra.
Things like this are reasons why when warming starts, it can accelerate faster than we think.
1Swann, A. (in press) Changes in Arctic vegetation amplify high-latitude warming through the greenhouse effect. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
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Photo credit: Phil Camill (from my Flickr collection) http://www.flickr.com/photos/pcamill/ / CC BY-NC-ND 2.0
Tags: trees and forests
Posted in biodiversity science, climate change science, polar ice | 1 Comment »
Thursday, December 24th, 2009

One of the outcomes of climate warming is that species will have to move to remain within climatic zones that match their physiological tolerances. Some common examples include the northward migration of boreal forest species into areas that are currently tundra and the upward migration of mountain species.
As Scott Loarie and colleagues note1 in this week’s Nature (subscription required), we often think of mountain ecosystems as being particularly threatened because alpine species have nowhere to go.
To analyze this challenge, they looked at the spatial gradients of temperature across land masses of the world. These data indicate how temperature changes over a known distance (temperature gradient = degrees C per kilometer).
Then, they used climate model model projections to determine how fast the temperature of a region will change (warming rate = degrees C per year).
By dividing the warming rate by the temperature gradient, they determined what they called the temperature velocity (kilometers per year)—which is basically represents how fast you (or another species) needs to move along the earth’s surface to maintain a constant temperature (check this division for yourself to see how the units cancel).
What did they find?
Posted in biodiversity science, climate change science, community conserved areas, risk analysis | No Comments »
Thursday, December 10th, 2009

We don’t ordinarily think about climate change and land use change as being a synergistic threat to society. However, the combination of impervious surfaces that increase runoff, declining wetlands, levees, and more severe storms pack a quadruple whammy that could lead to some major flooding in the future. From the cool adaptation work done in Keene, NH, we know that much of our infrastructure (roads, bridges, culverts) can’t handle the added stress of streams and rivers with higher discharge. We’re looking at a potential nightmare of increased costs associated with infrastructure damage.
In this week’s issue of Science, Jeffrey Opperman and colleagues argue1 that our historical paradigm of flood control with levees needs to fundamentally change to achieve a more sustainable socioecological system.
Their solution? Tear down some of the levees to allow some floodplains to flood. This can accomplish several goals:
(1) Flood risk reduction
(2) Increased floodplain goods and services
(3) Building resiliency to climate change
Opperman and colleagues acknowledge that there are political hurdles, such as convincing some private landowners that flooding their land can be useful.
But there are creative solutions that have already been deployed. They cite Sacramento as an example: Some farmers allow their crops to flood, serving as a pressure-relief valve when rivers swell, thereby preventing more expensive damage. In return, the farmers are compensated for their crop loss. It’s a win-win situation that presumably costs less than dealing with infrastructure damage or having to build new infrastructure that handles greater flooding.
Another idea is to allow some of these areas to become wetlands and compensate people as part of a wetlands banking system to mitigate the loss of wetlands elsewhere. This would most likely have several ecological benefits, including increasing habitat for wetland-dependent species such as waterfowl and other migrating birds. It would also likely increase vegetation productivity and carbon storage.
It’s interesting to note that they don’t call for an end to economic activity or human use in floodplains. Sure, we probably want to stop building McMansions in flood-prone regions. However, there are several ways we can use floodplains for ecological and economic benefit. These will likely require compensation, but in the long run, it’s cheaper than having to re-tool major infrastructure to handle greater discharge with climate warming.
1Opperman, J.J. et al (2009) Sustainable floodplains through large-scale reconnections to rivers. Science 326:1487-1488.
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Photo credit: http://www.flickr.com/photos/doblonaut/ / CC BY-NC-SA 2.0
Posted in biodiversity science, climate adaptation, food and agriculture, risk analysis, solutions, sustainable development | No Comments »
Wednesday, November 18th, 2009
Since the industrialization of fishing in the 1970s, the combination of longlining, trawling, dredging, and other forms of seafood harvesting have decimated marine species populations.
Predatory fish, including tunas, marlin, cod, and sharks, have declined more than 80 percent (here and here) over the past twenty years as a result of overharvest and accidental bycatch. In the Caribbean alone, green turtle populations may have numbered over 90 million three centuries ago compared with 300,000 today.
That’s so staggering I have to repeat it—80% declines. This is some of the most visible evidence of global change on the planet. It’s almost unbelievable.
Because people preferentially remove top predators when harvesting seafood, this leads to what we call a “trophic cascade,” as the abundance of other species lower on the food chain adjust in response to the loss of predators. In cooler, temperate marine ecosystems, the loss of predatory fish and lobsters often causes an increase in sea urchins and gastropod species (e.g., snails). Many of these species are herbivores, grazing on algae. So an increase in their populations leads to a situation of algae overgrazing, sometimes creating what are known as “urchin barrens.” It’s analogous to a deforested area on land, where both habitat and food are lost.
We often don’t think about these connections—how removing tasty fish from the sea can lead to widespread loss in algae, causing ecological systems to collapse.
Over the past decade, marine protected areas (MPAs) have become a popular tool for slowing the decline in marine populations, especially in coastal areas where sensitive habitat (like coral and rocky reefs) and fishing grounds often overlap.
The idea of MPAs is simple: Cordon off an area and eliminate or restrict fishing within the zone. Over time, the populations of species (like fish) increase and animals get bigger. These animals can then disperse out of the protected areas into legal fishing zones where they can be harvested. In an ideal system, it’s a win-win situation—habitats and species are protected and sustainable fishing harvests can be maintained.
There are a few problems, however…
Problem 1: Most of these generalizations are derived from short term studies (< 3 years), that, while useful, may not tell the full story about how marine ecosystems change following protection.
Problem 2: New MPAs may have different histories, from lightly fished to severely depleted, leading to different post-protection legacies (i.e., we may not expect species recovery to be the same). This could skew our interpretation of how successful MPAs are. Enter the social dimension… As nations move to develop MPAs, fishers often co-opt good fishing grounds (ones that are often highly depleted) and leave the marginal, lightly fished areas for MPAs. Does this matter?
In the latest issue1,2 of Ecological Applications, Graham Edgar and colleagues report longer-term changes (up to 16-years) in MPAs located in southern (temperate) Australia. [Side note: Edgar (in Aussie, it's pronounced "aid-gaaah") also wrote one of the best Australian temperate marine taxonomy texts there is. So beautiful it makes a great coffee table book].
What did they find?
Tags: marine protected areas
Posted in biodiversity science, nature and culture, sustainability | 1 Comment »
Wednesday, October 28th, 2009

Nowhere is the intersection of nature and culture more apparent than in tropical communities developing around forestry. One of the outcomes of opening the forest to logging is the expansion of killing wild mammals for food—sometimes primates closely related to humans, such as gorillas and chimpanzees. This is known as the bushmeat trade. And logging roads provide easy access for legal and illegal hunters.
Although bushmeat hunting often makes the news (examples 1, 2, 3), we seldom hear about the underlying demographic and social factors that interact with bushmeat harvests. Learning more about these factors can empower us to develop sustainable solutions that slow or halt the loss of biodiversity.
In the Early View edition1,2 of Conservation Biology, Poulsen and colleagues examined the interaction between logging towns and bushmeat harvests in Congo.
For six years, they followed animal harvests and meals to see what controlled the rate of bushmeat harvests.
Their results were interesting…
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